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  • NCCRD@dffe.gov.za
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Climate Projections

Slide 1 CMIP6 SSPs text
CMIP6 & SSP methodology summary and variables of interest.

Slide 3 temperature verification
Observed vs CMIP6 ensemble annual mean temperature (1984–2014).
Slide 4 rainfall verification
Observed vs CMIP6 ensemble annual total rainfall (1984–2014).

Projected Annual Mean Temperature

Slide 6 temperature projections for SSP245 SSP585
Ensemble annual mean temperature projections for SSP2-4.5 (top) and SSP5-8.5 (bottom) for 2015–2045, 2046–2075 and 2076–2100.

Slide 7 precipitation projections
Ensemble annual precipitation projections for SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 for 2015–2045, 2046–2075 and 2076–2100.

Slide 9 SSP245 temperature percentiles
SSP2-4.5: 10th, 50th and 90th percentile changes in annual mean temperature for 2015–2045, 2046–2075 and 2076–2100.
Slide 10 SSP585 temperature percentiles
SSP5-8.5: 10th, 50th and 90th percentile changes in annual mean temperature for the same time slices.

Percentile Projections: Precipitation

Slide 11 SSP245 precipitation percentiles
SSP2-4.5: 10th, 50th and 90th percentile changes in annual precipitation for 2015–2045, 2046–2075 and 2076–2100.
Slide 12 SSP585 precipitation percentiles
SSP5-8.5: 10th, 50th and 90th percentile changes in annual precipitation for the same time slices.

Seasonal Temperature

Slide 14 seasonal temperature SSP245
Seasonal temperature (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) for SSP2-4.5, across the three future time slices.
Slide 15 seasonal temperature SSP585
Seasonal temperature (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) for SSP5-8.5, across the three future time slices.

Seasonal Precipitation

Slide 16 seasonal precipitation SSP245
Seasonal precipitation (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) for SSP2-4.5 for 2015–2045, 2046–2075 and 2076–2100.
Slide 17 seasonal precipitation SSP585
Seasonal precipitation (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) for SSP5-8.5 for the same three time slices.

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